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The US blockade of Iran is a gamble. Will it work?

April 13, 2026

The US military has implemented a naval blockade of Iranian ports in the Gulf, a strategy considered less risky than alternatives like seizing Iranian territory or providing armed escorts through the Strait of Hormuz. The blockade aims to cut off Iran's petroleum exports, which have continued generating billions in revenue while Iranian actions have prevented other Gulf nations from exporting their own oil. However, experts question whether the strategy will succeed, as Iran has demonstrated remarkable resilience and believes it can endure economic pain longer than the US can tolerate rising oil prices and pressure from Gulf allies.

Who is affected

  • The Iranian regime (loss of oil export revenue)
  • US military forces (conducting blockade operations)
  • Seafarers and shipping crews navigating the Gulf region
  • Gulf states (previously prevented from exporting hydrocarbons by Iran, now facing potential oil price impacts)
  • China (largest importer of Iranian oil)
  • The global economy (caught between competing blockades)
  • Vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports

What action is being taken

  • The US military is conducting a naval blockade of Iranian ports
  • US warships are loitering in Gulf of Oman waters, tracking and interdicting vessels
  • Vessels are being subject to inspection (those carrying humanitarian supplies)
  • Shipping experts are monitoring vessels emerging from Iranian ports through the Strait of Hormuz
  • A ceasefire remains in place
  • Diplomatic discussions took place in Islamabad over the weekend

Why it matters

  • The blockade represents a significant escalation in economic warfare that could deprive Iran of billions in petroleum export revenue while potentially destabilizing global oil markets. The strategy's success depends on whether the US can sustain economic and political pressure longer than Iran can endure hardship, with Iran believing it has greater resilience than its opponents. The outcome will affect global oil prices, international shipping security, and could determine whether economic coercion can achieve what military options cannot, all while risking broader economic consequences for allies and the world economy.

What's next

  • No explicit next steps stated in the article

Read full article from source: BBC